It’s time for an additional cycle of prospect lists, and as I’ve grow to be accustomed to doing for the previous few seasons, I’m beginning with scouting studies on professional gamers in overseas leagues, with a give attention to gamers accessible for MLB free company this offseason. On The Board, you possibly can see a recent batch of scouting studies and evaluations for related gamers from Nippon Skilled Baseball, the Korea Baseball Group, and the Chinese language Skilled Baseball League in Taiwan, in addition to studies on some younger gamers I’ve recognized as doubtlessly impactful long-term prospects. For many who want a crash course on the age- and professional experience-driven traces of demarcation that dictate how MLB groups signal worldwide gamers, I’d level you to quite a lot of MLB.com glossary entries, together with these on worldwide free company for these in Asian professional leagues, worldwide novice free company and bonus pool restrictions, the Japanese posting system, and the Korean posting system.
It may be overwhelming to sift by so many various kinds of gamers on that part of The Board — it’s an actual apples and oranges scenario once we’re speaking about some guys who’re of their 30s and others who’re nonetheless youngsters — so I’ve bought a lot of them damaged into digestible subgroups beneath. You’ll discover that some gamers seem throughout a number of classes. The Board has every participant’s full scouting report and power grades — consider this as extra of a desk of contents.
Roki Sasaki, SP, Chiba Lotte Marines
Sasaki will get his personal part as a result of he’s an enormous star, a possible top-of-the-rotation MLB starter with a looming posting. In August, I wrote quite a bit about Sasaki and what his market would appear like have been he to be posted this offseason. Every part in that article nonetheless holds water, together with the remaining 2024 worldwide pool quantities, which I checked in on once more over the weekend and that are nonetheless appropriate. Go learn that piece should you haven’t already after which come again right here.
Now we wait to see if Sasaki might be posted early sufficient to qualify for the 2024 signing interval or late sufficient to be a part of 2025. As I wrote within the linked article, issues could be a lot messier if Sasaki and the Marines wait till the latter window. A higher quantity groups might theoretically supply Sasaki extra money in 2025, however the signing group would possible be breaking verbal agreements with different gamers to take action. There could be bottlenecking of different novice offers as golf equipment waited for Sasaki to eradicate them earlier than transferring on to signal the gamers with whom they’ve handshake offers, and there would possibly even be some poaching throughout that window. There’s way more alternative for malfeasance and a public relations nightmare on this path.
If he’s posted sooner, it’s cleaner. Groups have already signed their 2024 lessons; no teenager could be denied his long-promised bonus. Cash from the preliminary signing could not matter to Roki all that a lot anyway; he’s matriculating too early to get an enormous free agent deal, which suggests he has different priorities and/or different sources of revenue. To not point out signing earlier provides Sasaki time to, you understand, transfer and get acclimated to a brand new league and tradition. I don’t have any perception into what’s going to transpire, however it appears extra logical to me that Sasaki’s scenario will get resolved within the subsequent month.
Imminently Heading Our Means
Tomoyuki Sugano, SP, Yomiuri Giants
Kyle Hart 하트, SP, NC Dinos (KBO)
Kazuma Okamoto, 1B, Yomiuri Giants
Kaima Taira, SIRP, Saitama Seibu Lions
Hye-seong Kim 김혜성, SS, Kiwoom Heroes (KBO)
Shinnosuke Ogasawara, SP, Chunichi Dragons
This group has principally self-identified and indicated they’d like to check the MLB waters, however just a few of the blokes listed here are names scouts and executives have talked about as prospects. Sugano is an aged strike-thrower who has tried to transition to MLB earlier than. Hart was on our current Prime 50 Free Brokers listing. Okamoto is a scorching title who will in all probability be of curiosity to model-driven groups due to his potential to drag the ball within the air. He’s on Japan’s Premier12 roster. Taira’s stuff was down upon a transfer to the rotation after which he bought harm, however he rebounded in an enormous manner late in 2024 and regarded nice on the finish of the yr.
Limitations to Entry
Liván Moinelo, SP, Fukuoka Hawks
Raidel Martinez, RP, Chunichi Dragons
Cuban gamers like Moinelo (who made a profitable transition from the bullpen to Fukuoka’s rotation) and Martinez (a dominant nearer) are taking part in in Japan with the blessing of the Cuban authorities, and so would wish to defect and set up residency some place else as a way to signal with an MLB group.
Star Energy
Shunpeita Yamashita, SP, Orix Buffaloes
Munetaka Murakami, 3B, Yakult Swallows
Liván Moinelo, SP, Fukuoka Hawks
Haruto Inoue, SP, Yomiuri Giants
Shosei Togo, SP, Yomiuri Giants
This group could be able to make a big effect for an MLB membership inside a yr or two. Yamashita is just 22 and could be a high 30 or so general prospect. Murakami hasn’t been in a position to replicate his early-career dominance, however nonetheless has sufficient lefty energy to be thought-about an impression younger participant. Inoue and Togo would slot proper into the center of most good rotations.
Deep Projection
Seiya Yokoyama, SS, Orix Buffaloes
Ryusei Terachi, C, Chiba Lotte Marines
Julian Tima, 3B, Yomiuri Giants
Shion Matsuo, C, Yokohama BayStars
Haruya Tanaka, SP, Chiba Lotte Marines
Dong Ju Moon 문동주, SP, Hanwha Eagles (KBO)
Do Yeong Kim 김도영, 3B, KIA Tigers (KBO)
Rui Muneyama, SS, Rakuten Golden Eagles
This whole group might be topic to novice bonus restrictions till 2030 or so. The gamers listed below are throughout 20 years previous and tremendous deep cuts for the actual dorks and dynasty league homeowners. Do Yeong Kim is the massive new title on this group, as he’s coming off an enormous breakout season.
Private Cheeseballs
Shunpeita Yamashita, SP, Orix Buffaloes
Tatsuki Mizuno, SS, Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Jo Hsi Hsu, SP, Wei Chuan Dragons (CPBL)
Woo-jin An 안우진, SP, Kiwoom Heroes (KBO)
Carter Stewart, SP, Fukuoka Hawks
This group is made up of prospects whose expertise or careers to this point make them among the many most attention-grabbing gamers on the listing. These are the scouting studies you’re going to need to ensure you learn.
Didn’t Make the Minimize
I took notes on a bunch of younger gamers who didn’t make the principle part of the listing.
Hiroto Saiki, RHP, Hanshin Tigers
A 6-foot-2, 26-year-old righty, Saiki’s construct and supply appear like the MLB prototype. He labored practically 170 innings in 2024 and has been a constant strike-thrower to this point all through his profession. His fastball sits 92 however has been as much as 97. He lacks a breaking ball with vertical end, which is odd contemplating he has an almost due north arm angle. He both wants so as to add velocity or a greater breaking ball to go together with his splitter.
Keito Matsuura, LHP, Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
A younger lefty with a flat-approach fastball that averaged 93 mph throughout his 2024 NPB debut, the 21-year-old Matsuura wants one among his secondary pitches to take a step ahead to make the principle listing.
Makoto Kadowaki, SS, Yomiuri Giants
Kadowaki is an acrobatic, slick-fielding 23-year-old shortstop who, at 5-foot-7, could have a utility ceiling resulting from an absence of energy and impression contact. He had a sub-.600 OPS in 2024, however his wrists are fast and he could but get stronger.
Shota Morishita, RF, Hanshin Tigers
A 24-year-old proper fielder who slashed .267/.367/.440 in 2024, Morishita is a form of hitter you’re seeing increasingly in North American professional ball: the man who crowds the plate and tries to drag as typically as he can. This has labored for Morishita, who has thrived in opposition to 93-plus mph fastballs in NPB. He’s a strong younger hitter who must get stronger as a way to hit for impression nook outfield energy. At a medium-build 5-foot-11, that’s going to need to be completed within the weight room.
Ryuki Watarai, OF, Yokohama BayStars
The 22-year-old Watarai was one of many first picks of the 2023 NPB Draft (they use a nomination and lottery system; three groups nominated Watarai to be their first choose and Yokohama gained his lottery) and bought a whole lot of huge league run in 2024. He posted an .865 OPS within the minors and a .635 OPS in 75 Central League video games. Watarai has huge energy for his age, however he swings with a ton of effort to get to it. As he matures and will get stronger, he would possibly have the ability to shorten up and nonetheless hit for energy. As of proper now, this type of hitting feels prefer it wouldn’t maintain water in MLB.
Kaito Muratmatsu, SS, Chunichi Dragons
Somewhat shortstop with nice hand-eye coordination and barrel management, Muramatsu slashed .276/.328./.336 in his age-23 season. He’s a slappy all-fields hitter with out a lot energy (14 doubles, one homer) and his energy projection is restricted by his dimension (he’s a comparatively maxed out 5-foot-7).
Daito Yamamoto, OF, Chiba Lotte Marines
The 22-year-old Yamamoto had 19 homers for the Marines’ farm membership in 2024 and had maybe the perfect mixture of youth, instruments, and statistical efficiency amongst Jap Leaguers. He’ a chase-prone nook man, however he has the instruments and bodily projection to be much like Chusei Mannami (who’s on the principle part of the listing) in just a few years.
Yumeto Kanemaru, LHP, Chunichi Dragons
4 groups nominated Kanemaru, a university southpaw from Kansai College, to be their first choose in 2024. Kanemaru is the NPB first spherical choose prototype, an athletic little lefty with an upshot fastball and high quality breaking ball. Typically pitchers like this find yourself sustaining a 92-94 mph fastball throughout 150 or so innings, and grow to be Shota Imanaga kind starters. However a whole lot of early draftees like this (Seibu Lions lefties Chihiro Sumida and Natsuki Takeuchi are examples) find yourself plateauing within the 89-91 vary. Kanemaru is a reputation to know within the occasion he has a velo spike.