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A Trifecta Betting Technique for the Fourstardave Handicap

The $500,000, Grade 1 Fourstardave Handicap at Saratoga this weekend is a race you don’t wish to miss. The race is scheduled for Saturday, Aug. 10, however is likely to be rescheduled to Sunday, Aug. 11, if heavy rain forecasted for the upstate New York area on Friday and Saturday causes races to be moved off the turf.

The one-mile grass contest is a pivotal steppingstone towards the Nov. 2 Grade 1 FanDuel Breeders’ Cup Mile Offered by PDJF; actually, the Fourstardave awards its winner a fees-paid berth to the Breeders’ Cup. That’s a becoming prize for the reason that Fourstardave frequently attracts previous or future Breeders’ Cup Mile winners equivalent to Smart Dan (first in 2012 and 2013), Vacationer (first in 2016), World Approval (first in 2017), and Uni (third in 2019 and seventh in 2020). Moreover, latest Fourstardave winners like Bought Stormy (2019 and 2021) and Casa Creed (2022 and 2023) have recorded top-three finishes within the Breeders’ Cup Mile.

The 2024 Fourstardave area was slated to function 2023 Breeders’ Cup Mile winner #2 Grasp of The Seas, who would have been a heavy favourite to file his fourth Grade 1 win from 5 North American begins. The standout miler has sadly scratched from the Fourstardave, however maybe one of many remaining six entrants will go on to realize related star standing with a victory within the 2024 Breeders’ Cup Mile.

Definitely there are some gifted horses remaining within the area. Take into account #6 Ottoman Fleet (8-5), a stablemate of Grasp of The Seas educated by Charlie Appleby, who has received with 34% of his North American starters this yr. Ottoman Fleet has confirmed to be a wonderful campaigner world wide over distances from 1 1/16 miles to 1 1/4 miles. In North America, he received the 2023 Grade 2 Fort Marcy Stakes earlier than returning this yr to take the Grade 3 Arlington Stakes and Grade 2 Smart Dan Stakes.

Ottoman Fleet has by no means run as quick as one mile, however the Arlington and Smart Dan came about over 1 1/16 miles, so slicing again one other sixteenth of a mile shouldn’t be a significant impediment. He’s slated to be ridden by sizzling jockey Flavien Prat, a 22% winner at Saratoga who has gone 3-for-6 (50%) teaming up with Appleby over the past two months in response to Brisnet statistics, so any approach you slice it Ottoman Fleet is a critical win menace.

However we are able to’t overlook #4 Carl Spackler (9-5) as a challenger. Skilled by Chad Brown (a 23% winner at Saratoga this meet), Carl Spackler has received three of his 4 begins on turf at Saratoga. As a 3-year-old final yr, he proved a lot one of the best within the one-mile Grade 2 Nationwide Museum of Racing Corridor of Fame Stakes and 1 1/16-mile Grade 3 Saranac Stakes, profitable by margins of two ¼ lengths and three ½ lengths.

Carl Spackler suffered his lone Saratoga defeat within the one-mile Grade 3 Poker Stakes two begins again, through which a gradual early/quick late tempo compromised his possibilities to a point. However he was again to his finest within the July 13 Grade 3 Kelso Stakes racing one mile at Saratoga, monitoring the tempo from second place earlier than ending quick to win by half a size. Carl Spackler has each probability to work out one other favorable journey monitoring tried-and-true velocity horse #1 Sturdy High quality (8-1) in second or third place, setting the stage for a showdown with Ottoman Fleet down the homestretch.

#7 Extra Than Seems to be (7-2) is one other intriguing contender. He launched a giant late cost to complete sixth within the 2023 Breeders’ Cup Mile, overwhelmed solely two lengths after gaining 6 ¼ lengths via the ultimate eighth of a mile. Victorious within the one-mile Grade 3 Manila Stakes at Belmont Park final summer season, Extra Than Seems to be hasn’t run for the reason that Breeders’ Cup and could also be wanting peak health off the lengthy layoff. However by way of expertise, he’s a must-use participant underneath five-time Eclipse Award-winning jockey Irad Ortiz Jr.

We consider Ottoman Fleet, Carl Spackler, and Extra Than Seems to be are the three strongest contenders within the Fourstardave area, so we’ll focus our consideration on betting the trifecta. We’ll play Ottoman Fleet and Carl Spackler on high whereas utilizing Extra Than Seems to be for second and third place.

Wagering Technique on a $10 Funds

$2.50 trifecta: 4,6 with 4,6,7 with 4,6,7 ($10)

What to say on the betting window: Saratoga, tenth race, $2.50 trifecta 4,6 with 4,6,7 with 4,6,7

Wagering Technique on a $30 Funds

$7.50 trifecta: 4,6 with 4,6,7 with 4,6,7 ($30)

What to say on the betting window: Saratoga, tenth race, $7.50 trifecta 4,6 with 4,6,7 with 4,6,7

Good luck, and benefit from the race!



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