In case your intention is to prep for an bold profession swansong in Europe’s hardest race, then constructing as much as the large day in barely calmer waters won’t be the worst concept on this planet.
Proprietor/breeder Edouard de Rothschild has made no secret of his need to run Mqse de Sevigne within the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe (G1) through one or each of the fillies-and-mares-only group 1s she landed in Deauville final summer season, and you could possibly make a fairly sturdy argument that she will not have to exceed her profitable efficiency from 12 months in the past within the Prix Rothschild (G1) to get the job carried out right here July 28.
Mqse de Sevigne put up a Racing Publish Score of 115 when holding off stablemate Life In Movement final season and, amongst her six rivals right here, Kelina and Rogue Millennium have matched that determine as soon as every of their careers, whereas solely Blue Rose Cen is a extra frequent customer to the loftier scores perches.
Now think about that Mqse de Sevigne has reeled off RPRs of 120, 114, 116, and 115 in her 4 subsequent begins, and she or he begins to look a shade of worth at something round even-money or odds towards.
Andre Fabre is unlikely to have her at live performance pitch following a brief summer season break however her nearest pursuer within the Prix d’Ispahan (G1), Horizon Dore , was overwhelmed solely a size and three-quarters by Auguste Rodin on his subsequent begin at Royal Ascot.
“(Mqse de Sevigne) received this race final yr but it surely wasn’t by three lengths,” Fabre stated. “There’s some opposition and it very a lot is dependent upon how the race develops and whether or not there is a good tempo as a result of she’s not a specialist miler, she wants a bit extra distance. However she was rested for a bit after the Prix d’Ispahan and she or he’s contemporary.”
Blue Rose Cen is the one rival who has a physique of labor—versus a single efficiency—that might significantly threaten Mqse de Sevigne, and she or he has regarded prepared for a return to racing towards her personal intercourse after failing to make the body on two begins in open firm for brand new coach Maurizio Guarnieri.
The case for a revival of fortune for final yr’s Poule d’Essai des Pouliches (G1) and Prix de Diane (G1) heroine rests not solely by racing towards fillies and mares, but additionally by the drop again in journey to a mile, though Guarnieri seems to be utilizing this race as a method to an finish forward of the Prix Jean Romanet (G1) again over 10 furlongs.
Kelina ran an honest comeback race over the identical seven furlongs as her win within the Prix de la Foret (G1) final October, and Deauville’s quick, flat mile ought to pose no issues on the stamina entrance, though sudden rain in a single day July 26 has not helped her trigger.
Glorious Reality makes an attempt to make the soar from listed success and doubtless requires the favourite to underperform, for all that she is comparatively unexposed at this journey.
With query marks towards these three, probably the most dependable different to Mqse de Sevigne is Rogue Millennium, who—like Kelina—ran under par right here 12 months in the past, however then rebounded to complete a high quality second to Tahiyra within the Matron Stakes (G1) and has been constant with out profitable in three begins this yr for Joseph O’Brien.
