There are a number of gamers who’re robust to foretell through the preparation of the High 50 free brokers yearly. Typically, they’re gamers whose status outpaces their statistical output, particularly of their stroll yr. Pete Alonso is the perfect instance this offseason.
We landed on a five-year, $125MM prediction that ranked him seventh within the class. That appears to be beneath market consensus. Different estimates of Alonso’s incomes energy have landed within the $140MM to $170MM vary.* These align extra carefully with the Polar Bear’s status as a star, placing him within the Freddie Freeman or Matt Olson bucket. Freeman landed a deferred $162MM contract from the Dodgers, whereas Olson’s extension with the Braves assured him $168MM over eight seasons.
Alonso probably expects to be paid equally. Joel Sherman of the New York Submit has reported that Alonso declined a seven-year, $158MM supply from the Mets in June 2023. That may have purchased out his ultimate arbitration season and 6 free agent years. Alonso collected $20.5MM for his final arbitration yr, so the extension proposal may be thought of akin to $137.5MM over six seasons. As lately as final summer time, Alonso and his earlier representatives felt he may do higher. (He has since employed the Boras Company.) He’ll have to buck some market developments for that to be the case.
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